Comments on Caveman Forecaster: Data Analysis, Graphing, and Forecasting: World's Natural Resource Depletion Forecast Graphi...

thank you for the nice graphs on resource depletio...

2011-06-01T19:52:55.417-05:00

thank you for the nice graphs on resource depletion. I am talking on electronics and plastics recycling at TED in July and might like to use one of your graphs if you will give me permission. Thank you.

I think you should assume a constant consumption r...

2010-04-29T00:19:16.667-05:00

I think you should assume a constant consumption rate... The world is full of selfish consumers! People aren't going to slow down when they think there's an endless supply of everything. The people, (Corporations), who use up all of our resources just want to sell crap... and apparently they live in the moment, because they obviously don't care about the future of our planet! Most people don't even know that resources like these won't be around forever... Poor stupid people.

Hi CavemanForecaster, I made my own version of the chart. You might be interested in comparing our approaches.

Curt, I agree. I don't know much at all about whe...

2009-04-29T23:55:00.000-05:00

Curt, I agree. I don't know much at all about where this data came from, I was just exploring the graphical representation. I have it on my list to follow this up with a more detailed forecast for one of the elements. Perhaps gold or silver since those have lots of investment interest also.

I am glad you don't agree much with these forecast...

2009-04-29T20:17:00.000-05:00

I am glad you don't agree much with these forecasts. As a chemical engineer, I am wondering exactly how all these elements (except perhaps uranium) are being used up. No uses of these materials deplete atoms of any of the elements.

Does the data start from known reserves? Reserves will go up as mining companies explore in response to increasing demand and lowering supply.

I need to figure out how to post the spreadsheet. ...

2009-04-28T14:57:00.000-05:00

I need to figure out how to post the spreadsheet. When I figure it out, I will put it in another comment.

Hi there, Certainly more intuitive than the cir...

2009-04-28T07:36:00.000-05:00

Hi there,
Certainly more intuitive than the circular graph ('un'surprisingly?) Is there some way of accessing your spreadsheet (download and use)? I would be nice learning to see what you've done and play around a bit ourselves? would you be interested in posting the file online? Just a thought.

Thanks. It has been a good discussion. I agree, ...

2009-04-27T20:11:00.000-05:00

Thanks. It has been a good discussion. I agree, the linear assumption should be explicit as well as any other assumptions on a graph like this.

Kudos: I love reading this blog. Thanks contributo...

2009-04-27T14:18:00.000-05:00

Kudos: I love reading this blog. Thanks contributors!
Comment: Are we to assume that depletion rates are indeed linear? Yes, we are assuming steady demand and no increasing supply, but it seems that the linear assumption should be explicit as well.